Chatting With Founder And Head Of Research And Policy At The Association For Long Term Existence And Resilience (Alter), Lecturer At Technionlive, Emeritus At Superforecaster, PhD At Pardeerand Optimistic On Al, Pessimistic On Humanity Managing The Risks Well- David Manheim From Israel- David Manheim collaborates with academics and policymakers to mitigate large-scale catastrophic risks, with a particular focus on biosecurity and artificial intelligence alignment. His work spans both technical risk evaluation and mitigation as well as public policy and legislative strategies to address existential threats to humanity.
He is a Superforecaster with Good Judgment Inc. and was among the original participants in the Good Judgment Project, which won an IARPA forecasting competition. Previously, he was ranked among the top 100 forecasters on Metaculus.
David earned his Ph.D. from Pardee RAND, part of the RAND Corporation, where his dissertation, “Value of Information in Policy Analysis,” explored how decision-makers can optimize information gathering for large-scale policy decisions, particularly in homeland security and biological risk. His research applied Bayesian networks, Markov-chain Monte Carlo analysis, and informal methods to decision-making under uncertainty. While at RAND, he contributed to projects on social media analysis, military resilience, and public policy risk modeling, including infectious disease policy, the impact of cryptocurrency on U.S. national security, and multi-stakeholder planning for NYC flood risk reduction.
Before pursuing his doctorate, David worked in risk modeling for insurance and equity derivatives, specializing in extreme tail risk and large-scale data management. His expertise includes reviewing RMS terrorism models, developing training for complex risk models, automating business processes, conducting accumulation and loss modeling consulting, and building applications to monitor risk through integrated modeling approaches.
Alter– https://alter.org.il/en/home-page-en/
Youtube-
Podcast-
Apple Podcasts-
Google Podcasts- https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9hbmNob3IuZm0vcy80N2VkMjA4Yy9wb2RjYXN0L3Jzcw==
Spotify-
GoodPods- https://goodpods.app.link/AO396JCLkzb
Pandora- https://www.pandora.com/podcast/smart-cherrys-thoughts/PC:1000673252
Castos- https://feeds.castos.com/4k5zd
Pocket Casts- https://pca.st/z0ftvm5r
Overcast- https://overcast.fm/itunes1550749561/smart-cherrys-thoughts
SAMSUNG- Smart Cherrys Thoughts
Podchaser- Smart Cherrys Thoughts
My words about Chatting With David Manheim-
David Manheim said about his work and answered some of my questions, it was great chat.
Kind regards,
Sai Charan Paloju
CLOUD DEVOPS ENGINEER,
INTERNATIONAL SPEAKER, GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY INFLUENCER,
SELF-TAUGHT CLOUD SOLUTIONS ARCHITECT, CONTENT CREATOR,
MASTERS DEGREE – SOFTWARE ENGINEERING
BACHELORS DEGREE- COMPUTER SCIENCE & ENGINEERING,
YOUTUBE CHANNEL HOST, PODCAST HOST, SOCIAL MEDIA MANAGER, EX-PROFESSIONAL CRICKET PLAYER OF HYDERABAD, INDIA
40,000+ FOLLOWERS ON SOCIAL MEDIA